BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024

#120 Arkansas State 2024 Season Summary

Team Logo

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.76 26.76 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.68 377.68 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Arkansas State 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense (#100)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 27.45 36.56 (+9.11) 24.00 20.93 (-3.07) 20.93 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 343.82 313.59 (-30.23) 374.64 359.99 (-14.65) 359.99 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.85 5.41 (-0.44) 5.39 5.09 (-0.30) 5.09 (+0.00)

Defense (#125)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 33.36 33.14 (-0.22) 32.36 33.76 (+1.40) 33.76 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 430.09 431.74 (+1.65) 462.18 478.14 (+15.96) 478.14 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.19 6.28 (+0.09) 6.96 7.15 (+0.19) 7.15 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.7

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 Central Arkansas Non-FBS Opponent W 34-31 1-0
2024-09-07 Tulsa 40.16 22.14 -18.02 62.30 78.90% W 28-24 2-0
2024-09-14 @Michigan 14.05 36.75 +22.69 50.80 13.60% L 18-28 2-1
2024-09-21 @Iowa State 16.96 43.77 +26.81 60.73 7.00% L 7-52 2-2
2024-10-05 South Alabama 23.43 34.29 +10.86 57.71 32.58% W 18-16 3-2
2024-10-12 @Texas State 21.79 50.03 +28.24 71.82 4.71% L 9-41 3-3
2024-10-19 @Southern Miss 30.89 15.28 -15.60 46.17 75.03% W 44-28 4-3
2024-10-26 Troy 26.54 29.83 +3.29 56.38 44.72% W 34-31 5-3
2024-11-09 @Louisiana 19.65 39.37 +19.73 59.02 18.36% L 19-55 5-4
2024-11-16 @Georgia State 27.19 31.60 +4.41 58.78 42.92% W 27-20 6-4
2024-11-23 UL Monroe 25.22 26.02 +0.80 51.24 48.72% W 28-21 7-4
2024-11-30 Old Dominion 22.73 35.11 +12.38 57.84 30.14% L 32-40 7-5
2024-12-27 @Bowling Green 17.82 30.08 +12.27 47.90 30.32% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
7-6 69.61% 0.00% 100.00%
8-5 30.39% 69.61% 30.39%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-12 0.21%
2-11 1.88%
3-10 8.51%
4-9 19.79%
5-8 27.04%
6-7 23.44%
7-6 12.86%
8-5 4.87%
9-4 1.21%
10-3 0.18%
11-2 0.01%