BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Arkansas State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Arkansas State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.45 |
36.56 (+9.11) |
22.67 |
20.54 (-2.13) |
20.54 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
343.82 |
313.59 (-30.23) |
372.67 |
358.51 (-14.15) |
358.51 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.85 |
5.41 (-0.44) |
5.37 |
4.94 (-0.43) |
4.94 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.36 |
33.14 (-0.22) |
32.78 |
35.20 (+2.42) |
35.20 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
430.09 |
431.74 (+1.65) |
460.44 |
470.48 (+10.04) |
470.48 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.19 |
6.28 (+0.09) |
6.84 |
6.95 (+0.11) |
6.95 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Central Arkansas |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-31 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Tulsa |
35.80 |
22.49 |
-13.31 |
58.28 |
71.35% |
W 28-24 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Michigan |
15.71 |
35.54 |
+19.83 |
51.25 |
18.20% |
L 18-28 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Iowa State |
13.90 |
45.02 |
+31.12 |
58.92 |
0.10% |
L 7-52 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
South Alabama |
22.93 |
34.19 |
+11.26 |
57.12 |
31.94% |
W 18-16 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Texas State |
18.43 |
50.86 |
+32.43 |
69.29 |
0.10% |
L 9-41 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Southern Miss |
29.71 |
15.14 |
-14.57 |
44.85 |
73.37% |
W 44-28 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Troy |
24.38 |
26.37 |
+1.99 |
50.76 |
46.81% |
W 34-31 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Louisiana |
17.94 |
41.12 |
+23.18 |
59.05 |
12.82% |
L 19-55 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Georgia State |
26.21 |
28.99 |
+2.79 |
55.20 |
45.53% |
W 27-20 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-23 |
UL Monroe |
24.70 |
29.05 |
+4.34 |
53.75 |
43.03% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Old Dominion |
20.56 |
34.52 |
+13.97 |
55.08 |
27.60% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
41.30% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
46.70% |
41.30% |
58.70% |
| 8-4 |
12.01% |
87.99% |
12.01% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.45% |
| 2-10 |
3.88% |
| 3-9 |
14.16% |
| 4-8 |
26.17% |
| 5-7 |
27.95% |
| 6-6 |
18.33% |
| 7-5 |
7.16% |
| 8-4 |
1.67% |
| 9-3 |
0.20% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |