BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Arkansas State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Arkansas State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.45 |
36.56 (+9.11) |
16.00 |
13.34 (-2.66) |
22.05 (+8.71) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
343.82 |
313.59 (-30.23) |
318.40 |
289.74 (-28.66) |
298.68 (+8.94) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.85 |
5.41 (-0.44) |
4.87 |
3.97 (-0.90) |
4.51 (+0.54) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.36 |
33.14 (-0.22) |
32.20 |
32.27 (+0.07) |
32.59 (+0.33) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
430.09 |
431.74 (+1.65) |
463.00 |
458.20 (-4.80) |
448.28 (-9.92) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.19 |
6.28 (+0.09) |
6.99 |
6.90 (-0.08) |
6.67 (-0.23) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Central Arkansas |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-31 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Tulsa |
34.88 |
18.50 |
-16.38 |
53.38 |
76.27% |
W 28-24 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Michigan |
13.86 |
44.39 |
+30.53 |
58.25 |
1.03% |
L 18-28 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Iowa State |
12.55 |
44.95 |
+32.40 |
57.51 |
0.10% |
L 7-52 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
South Alabama |
27.40 |
30.67 |
+3.27 |
58.08 |
44.75% |
W 18-16 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Texas State |
26.68 |
53.30 |
+26.62 |
79.98 |
7.31% |
L 9-41 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Southern Miss |
31.74 |
11.71 |
-20.03 |
43.45 |
82.12% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Troy |
23.15 |
32.38 |
+9.23 |
55.52 |
35.19% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Louisiana |
25.01 |
36.29 |
+11.28 |
61.29 |
31.91% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Georgia State |
26.06 |
32.66 |
+6.60 |
58.73 |
39.42% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
UL Monroe |
15.21 |
30.68 |
+15.46 |
45.89 |
25.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Old Dominion |
25.81 |
28.99 |
+3.18 |
54.80 |
44.89% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
2.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
14.55% |
2.00% |
98.00% |
| 5-7 |
31.75% |
16.55% |
83.45% |
| 6-6 |
31.09% |
48.30% |
51.70% |
| 7-5 |
16.05% |
79.40% |
20.60% |
| 8-4 |
4.16% |
95.45% |
4.55% |
| 9-3 |
0.39% |
99.61% |
0.39% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.25% |
| 2-10 |
2.74% |
| 3-9 |
11.81% |
| 4-8 |
24.50% |
| 5-7 |
29.11% |
| 6-6 |
20.41% |
| 7-5 |
8.75% |
| 8-4 |
2.15% |
| 9-3 |
0.26% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |